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This
Month's Spectrum Summary:
(The
following is an excerpt from the March 2007 issue of Spectrum,
a
proprietary monthly briefing published exclusively for the
clients of I.T. Strategies, Inc. © 2007)
Electrophotography
Paves the Path for Inkjet to Win
the High-End Document Sweepstakes
This month we sit down with Mark Hanley
to discuss what looks like a contradiction. Inkjet is widely
seen as having inherent advantages compared with electrophotography
(EP). Yet market figures currently, and for the foreseeable
future, show EP continuing to be much larger than inkjet.
We focus mainly on the high-end document and digital press
markets.
Here EP has been disappointing in that
it has not come close to displacing analog as the major printing
technology. Might inkjet succeed where EP has failed? Vendors
show signs of believing it might and a few impressive new
high-end inkjet printers have recently been launched or announced.
Three worth watching are the Agfa Dotrix TransColor, Dainippon
Screen Truepress Jet520, and the Riso 5500 high speed piezo
inkjet array products. Major EP vendors, becoming aware of
the limitations of EP and the potential of inkjet, now have
at least some involvement or investment in inkjet including
FujiFilm, Olympus, Toshiba, Kodak, Ricoh and others.
Scalability is seen as a major inkjet
feature in terms of print width, productivity, media/chemistry
flexibility and incremental cost for color. Questions remain
such as reliability of fixed array inkjet and print quality
compared with EP and offset. These are expected to be resolved
soon. The more significant barrier is seen as the degree of
commitment by vendors.
Looking at market development patterns,
it is felt that parallel development will continue for a while.
But in time the predominant part of the market, that wanting
the new services, will grow, while the older part of the market,
even with better economics, becomes less significant. This
is termed indirect substitution in that the new set of users
may be quite different from the old.
EP is seen as paving the path for high
end inkjet. People in very large numbers thanks to EP understand
what inkjet as a more scalable digital technology can do for
them. Observers see recent EP product launches as evidence
that these vendors are becoming increasingly aware of the
potential of inkjet to invade their high-end markets. But
at the same time they have set the stage for inkjet to invade
their world on the level predicted for them, but which they
are unlikely to achieve.
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