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This Month's Spectrum Summary:

(The following is an excerpt from the August 2003 issue of Spectrum. Spectrum is a proprietary monthly briefing published exclusively for the clients of I.T. Strategies, Inc. © 2003)

Production EP and Commercial Printing:
As Boundaries Melt, Challenging Navigation

This month we discuss the relationship of production electrophotography (EP) to commercial printing (excluding the mass media) with the I.T. Strategies analysts. This industry, also termed "offset," is seen as in decline due in large part to competing electronic media. Until around 1989 commercial printing growth tended to follow growth in the GDP, but that link has now been broken for good.

Although offset is in decline, many offset printers continue to grow by diversifying into various print-related areas such as electronic distribution, data management, and design services. There has been horizontal consolidation in the industry. But commercial printers have not acquired companies with digital expertise such as local service providers or wide format shops. We have seen the reverse: wide format companies diversifying into digital production printing.

With production EP cost/performance ever improving, users are beginning to bring more jobs in house. One view is that this is not taking volume from commercial printers, that it is incremental demand. However today there are some examples of users bringing jobs in house that formerly were done outside. One is a drug store chain which recently installed an iGen3 to run targeted direct mail promotions. Some specialized companies such as addressing shops are expanding into general printing. We see the boundaries melting between the various print-related sub-industries and between print suppliers and their customers. Direct mail is a major driver.

On the hardware side HP is described as having a short-term and a long-term strategy for its Indigo digital press. For now, they seek profitable incremental applications. Competing directly with offset is a long-term strategy although one view is that to date production digital has been driven mostly for its short-run attribute than for variable printing. This, however, is changing. Several targeted direct mail programs are described using a combination of EP, inkjet and offset. In the near future, it is expected production EP will be doing the whole job.

The key to competing more directly with offset is finishing. So far finishing in-line tends to be limited to sorting, folding and stapling. In Japan NTT now uses Scitex production inkjet to print two-color invoices, fold them and insert them into window envelopes, all in-line. Another example in this country is a personalized GM promotion with a response rate that more than compensates for the premium printing cost.

In short, print is getting divorced from the traditional commercial printing industry which survives by diversifying into various print- and electronic-related activities. But so far, few are moving to digital. Should they begin to move more heavily into digital printing, a down side may be that price-cutting could hurt the whole industry.

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